Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.150844 0.178345 0.209049 0.245812 0.288577 0.336697 0.394891
2024-12-29 0.110685 0.146905 0.191799 0.251289 0.327777 0.422515 0.548430
2025-01-05 0.084538 0.123091 0.175021 0.249541 0.353099 0.491178 0.688348
2025-01-12 0.066118 0.104163 0.159141 0.243483 0.368498 0.545596 0.813720
2025-01-19 0.052733 0.089101 0.145020 0.235977 0.378572 0.591405 0.930197
2025-01-26 0.045429 0.081654 0.140474 0.241163 0.406868 0.665565 1.095405
2025-02-02 0.039319 0.074841 0.135497 0.244310 0.431493 0.735865 1.261533
2025-02-09 0.034022 0.068359 0.129831 0.245044 0.451553 0.800227 1.424198
2025-02-16 0.030071 0.063560 0.126217 0.248517 0.476202 0.874131 1.609761
2025-02-23 0.027511 0.060943 0.126088 0.258072 0.512447 0.971193 1.844574
2025-03-02 0.023445 0.054522 0.117675 0.250616 0.516070 1.010331 1.979820
2025-03-09 0.020917 0.050878 0.114165 0.252146 0.536709 1.082151 2.181318
2025-03-16 0.018209 0.046413 0.108421 0.248599 0.547446 1.137520 2.359819
2025-03-23 0.016640 0.044291 0.107377 0.254819 0.578844 1.236177 2.632290
2025-03-30 0.014709 0.040928 0.103042 0.253203 0.593487 1.302865 2.847818
2025-04-06 0.012765 0.037141 0.097118 0.247096 0.597511 1.348011 3.023608
2025-04-13 0.011015 0.033505 0.090958 0.239493 0.597109 1.383543 3.182404
2025-04-20 0.010160 0.032147 0.090201 0.244753 0.626758 1.486418 3.494629
2025-04-27 0.009298 0.030595 0.088705 0.247946 0.651854 1.581609 3.798814
2025-05-04 0.008426 0.028837 0.086383 0.248689 0.671067 1.665327 4.085051
2025-05-11 0.007758 0.027567 0.085187 0.252211 0.697544 1.768196 4.424171
2025-05-18 0.007373 0.027118 0.086224 0.261899 0.740783 1.914401 4.876784
2025-05-25 0.006456 0.024729 0.081285 0.254340 0.738326 1.951019 5.073844